NFL Preview – Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens

NFL Preview – Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens

NFL Preview – Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens

It’s Week 10 of the 2015/2016 NFL regular season and my oh my, how quickly this has flown by. The road to the playoffs has well and truly begun and this season poses a plethora of playoff contenders, especially in the NFC. With teams all fighting for a highly sought-after playoff spot, this latter half of the season should boast some fantastic games. This time, an AFC battle pits two struggling teams against each other. The Jacksonville Jaguars still have division supremacy in their vision as they battle a down and out Ravens team in Baltimore.

Even though they’ve only got two wins this season, the Jaguars still have a chance to win the AFC South. With this motivation, we think they beat the nothing to play for Baltimore Ravens. We’re taking the Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5 at even odds with 888 Sport. You can get ‘Treble the Odds’ with your first bet if you click this link or the banner below!

After such an imposing campaign in the playoffs last year, only narrowly losing out to the eventual Super Bowl champions, the New England Patriots, it has come as a surprise that the Baltimore Ravens have ultimately been a dud this season. This can largely be attributed to a broken down defence who have no pass rush following the loss of Terrell Suggs early in the season and Joe Flacco not having a deep ball thread following the departure of Torrey Smith. They managed to pick up their second victory of the season last week in a 29-26 win against the San Diego Chargers, another struggling outfit. It was their first home win of the season. They sit bottom of the AFC North, very much out of playoff contention.

Joe Flacco hasn’t been the problem this season and has largely put in some good performances, but just hasn’t got the weapons he needs to do some serious damaged. The former Super Bowl MVP is completing 63.3% of his passes for 2,176 yards. He’s added ten touchdowns and eight interceptions. Steve Smith Sr was Flacco’s top target but is now done for the season which means Kamar Aiken is the main pass threat. Aiken has caught two touchdowns and made 333 yards. Justin Forsett has established himself as a leading NFL Running Back this season, running for over 550 yards and two touchdowns. The Ravens defence has been problematic. They have, on average, allowed 26.8 points per game and 383.6 yards per game.

The Jacksonville Jaguars, whilst not world beaters (which is obvious from their 2-6 record), have youth on their side. They’re all rallying around second year Quarterback Blake Bortles who is playing very consistently, putting up 300+ yard performances each week. They also boast a strong base of receivers. They also have on their side that the AFC South is the worst division in the NFL this season and is still very much up for grabs. Last week, they narrowly lost out to a strong New York Jets defence. They sit joint third in the AFC South.

Blake Bortles is only completing 56.3% of his passes for 2,193 yards, however he’s added seventeen touchdowns and ten interceptions. Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns are proving invaluable targers for Bortles as they have both combined for 1,342 yards and 12 touchdowns. They are now also boosted by the returns of Julius Thomas and Marquis Lee. T.J. Yeldon has also proven himself as one rookie with a great future ahead of him. Yeldon has added 470 yards on the ground and one touchdown. The Jaguars defence are allowing on average 29.4 points per game and 357.8 yards per game.

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Despite the fact these teams share an even 2-6 record in the regular season, the Ravens have been priced as the favourites by four and a half points. Baltimore is 6-2 against the spread following a bye week in the last eight seasons. They’re 1-6-1 against the spread this season and 0-6 against the spread in their last six home games. The Jaguars are 5-1 against the spread following a bye week in their last six seasons. They’re 6-2 against the spread following a loss and 7-2 against the spread in their last 9 games against AFC teams.

To me, it feels like this spread is a little too much, especially when you consider that the Baltimore Ravens largely have nothing to play for and that their 2015 season has a stake through it. The Jacksonville Jaguars on the other hand sit joint second in the AFC South which is the worst division in the NFL. The Indianapolis Colts who lead the division only boast two wins more. They also look terrible this season and are without Andrew Luck for several weeks which really should motivate the Jacksonville team because anything between 7-9 wins could win this division. With that motivation behind them and a bad defence in front of them, I think this sharp Jaguars offence handily cover the spread and get the win in Maryland tonight. Jacksonville Jaguars to cover the +4.5 point spread.

Dan Glozier.

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